What are the odds of winning the radio?

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What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby Chaikilla » Sun Mar 23, 2014 7:02 pm

First of all, I'm lucky if I even get a winning can, let alone the first prize. Hell, most of the time I don't even get a capsule toy!

So...to answer the question in the title, what would you say roughly? 1000/1? 10,000/1? More? Or am I just really unlucky? Oh and I must say thanks to BlueMue, I found your video on yt (the one where Ryo wins the radio) so at least that's some consolation . ;-)
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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby The You » Mon Mar 24, 2014 1:05 am

Not sure what the odds are, but i've gotten the boombox twice. 1st time was with buying chips in dobuita, and the second with i think caramel at the harbor. But i've never gotten those damn sega saturn games. I have a theory that praying at the family alter helps your odds, but that's probably just superstition.

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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby shengoro86 » Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:59 am

From a code standpoint, I do not think anyone has a real answer to that.

Personally, I have won the boombox and Saturn games at least three times, respectively.

I'd like to say that winning the boombox is like 200/1.

Any higher would seem ridiculous.

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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby Kiyuu » Mon Mar 24, 2014 4:40 am

Chaikilla wrote: First of all, I'm lucky if I even get a winning can, let alone the first prize. Hell, most of the time I don't even get a capsule toy!

So...to answer the question in the title, what would you say roughly? 1000/1? 10,000/1? More? Or am I just really unlucky? Oh and I must say thanks to BlueMue, I found your video on yt (the one where Ryo wins the radio) so at least that's some consolation . ;-)

One of Japanese guides says the odds of winning the radio-cassette player are 1/100.

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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby Chaikilla » Mon Mar 24, 2014 2:48 pm

Kiyuu wrote:
Chaikilla wrote: First of all, I'm lucky if I even get a winning can, let alone the first prize. Hell, most of the time I don't even get a capsule toy!

So...to answer the question in the title, what would you say roughly? 1000/1? 10,000/1? More? Or am I just really unlucky? Oh and I must say thanks to BlueMue, I found your video on yt (the one where Ryo wins the radio) so at least that's some consolation . ;-)

One of Japanese guides says the odds of winning the radio-cassette player are 1/100.


Oh, damn. I guess that confirms how unlucky I am.

Countless playthroughs and enough sodas to burst Ryo's bladder and the best I've ever got was the 3rd prize. :/
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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby BlueMue » Mon Mar 24, 2014 3:14 pm

You should try your luck when the chances of winning are doubled. That happens on 24&25 Dec., 1-4 Jan. , 14 Feb. and 14 March. With the odds increased like that I once won all four cassette tapes, both Saturn games and the stereo, all in one playthrough!

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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby Chaikilla » Mon Mar 24, 2014 5:11 pm

BlueMue wrote: You should try your luck when the chances of winning are doubled. That happens on 24&25 Dec., 1-4 Jan. , 14 Feb. and 14 March. With the odds increased like that I once won all four cassette tapes, both Saturn games and the stereo, all in one playthrough!


I learn something new everyday about Shenmue. Thanks a lot, I'll give it a try ;D
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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby ShenGCH » Mon Mar 24, 2014 5:16 pm

I remember winning the radio way back in the day. I was in the Tomato Mart in Dobuita buying chocolate after chocolate after chocolate just to see what I could win in the raffle, not even trying for the radio in particular, and pulled that magic red ticket :D. When you get home, it's right there on Ryo's desk, which is something I always found awesome.

xx

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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby Yokosuka Martian » Mon Mar 24, 2014 8:19 pm

My strategy was hitting the A button as soon as it showed up on the screen. I generally won something at least

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Re: What are the odds of winning the radio?

Postby Who Really Cares? » Tue Mar 25, 2014 12:22 pm

I used to think that technique worked then realized it didn't :lol:

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