Sonikku wrote: That which does not adapt, dies. Nintendo managed to get by in the gamecube days on the strength of their first party titles but their weak 3rd party support ensured they would not nearly be as successful as Sony's Playstation 2. This was before Netflix and smart phones and Ipads started competing for consumers entertainment dollar. The wii was a brilliant success in tapping into a market no one else knew existed, but that market has since been filled by smartphones/kinect etc. It's no longer enough to keep their brand top tier. Now that the market they broke into is so thoroughly saturated, they need something else. Judging by the cool reception from 3rd parties, prognosis is not good. I fear if Nintendo tries to go it alone and carve out a living solely on the Nintendo characters of old that this might be their final home console. The idea Sega might get out of the console business was unimaginable too. Right up to the point it happened.
I agree with everything you said except for that last part.
I dont think it was so unimaginable that at the time Sega would drop out of hardware considering the prior failures. They were the Blackberry of back then. They were popular, innovative and had a large market share at first but as you stated aswell, didnt adapt and ultimately had a last piece of hardware to try and save them. Which is exactly whats happening to Blackberry right now with the Z10 thats coming out soon.
I dont see Nintendo in that position. At worst I see them cutting the life of the Wii U short to come up with a new innovative excuse to launch a all new system that will garner as much attention the Wii first got.
But ultimately I think Wii U will be fine. Just like the PS3.
What worries me is their stock, take a look at the 5 year view
http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=NTDOFBut in comparison to Sony's past 5 years it could be worse
http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=SNEAlot of people say however that the stock is not an ultimate indicator for the companies profitability and I mostly agree with that, however it doesnt hurt to have it in your favor and it certainly does hurt to have it fall. Nintendo has been up past 500 before and I think they know they have the potential to get back there.
In the end Nintendo still has billions and extremely succesful portable sales.
What really worries me is the YOY(year over year revenue growth)
(-35.70%)
http://biz.yahoo.com/ic/41/41877.htmlThey need to see this improve or else it really is trouble. Revenues can be in the positive like they have been for them, but executives and share holders want to see positive YOY. I think they'll be fine though. They just need about 20 good games and 2 years time including price drops. They can bleed abit until then.
